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Kaitou Macro: Trump's influence on oil and gas may come from foreign policy. Kaitou macro economists said that President-elect Trump may influence the global oil and gas supply through foreign policy rather than domestic production or trade tariffs. "We doubt whether tariffs affecting the oil industry will be effective, and the impact will be limited in the short term," economists said. "At the same time, the decision to increase production will ultimately depend on private producers who have been strictly observing capital discipline since the outbreak." In terms of climate policy, Kaitou Macro said that the biggest threat will be to cancel the tax credit for electric vehicle buyers, which will put the promotion of this car in the United States at risk of further slowdown.Citigroup: It is estimated that if the exchange rate of the Brazilian real against the US dollar reaches 6.05, Brazil's CPI is expected to rise by 4.8% in 2025.Bank for International Settlements: Swap spreads are reflecting investors' concerns about excessive bond supply. The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) pointed out that huge government loans are having an impact on the global interest rate market, saying that investors have demanded higher premiums for buying sovereign bonds. In its quarterly report released on Tuesday, the agency pointed out that the swap spreads of various currencies and maturities have narrowed rapidly in recent months, which are "signs of possible oversupply". As investors are worried about huge debt and deficit expansion, the yields of government bonds in the euro zone and Japan have recently exceeded comparable swap rates. This leads to the so-called swap spread becoming negative. Because national debt is usually regarded as a safer investment than interest rate swap, it is unusual for the swap spread to enter the negative range. According to the Bank for International Settlements, the negative swap spread seems to reflect the pressure faced by investors and intermediaries because they need to absorb more government bonds in the near future. In the United States, the swap spreads for some maturities have been negative for many years.

VESTIS, a supplier of workplace supplies, once rose 9.4%, the highest since May 1. In the news, VESTIS is interested in the acquisition of many companies.Institution: AUD/NZD may rebound in the coming months. Jane Foley, foreign exchange strategist of ABN amro, said in a report that AUD/NZD may rebound in the coming months, because the growth momentum of New Zealand's economy is far less than that of Australia. "The weakness of the New Zealand economy and the risk of further sharp interest rate cuts by the New Zealand Federal Reserve indicate that the fundamentals do not support the further performance of the New Zealand dollar against the Australian dollar." The New Zealand Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points in November and hinted that it would cut interest rates further in 2025. The Reserve Bank of Australia kept interest rates unchanged on Tuesday. The Dutch cooperative bank predicts that the Australian dollar will rise from the current 1.0991 to 1.12 against the New Zealand dollar within three months.Poland will take over the rotating presidency of the European Union in the first half of 2025. On December 10th, local time, the Council of the European Union announced that Poland will take the rotating presidency of the Council of the European Union from January to June, 2025. On the same day, Polish Prime Minister Tusk said that the Russian-Ukrainian peace talks may begin this winter. Tusk said at the Polish government meeting, "The (EU rotating) presidency has a common responsibility for the direction of the political structure, and may also decide the situation during the (peace) negotiations. Although there are still doubts, peace talks may begin this winter. " (CCTV News)

Google (GOOG.O) rose 4.3%, reaching its highest level since July.The observers of the International Atomic Energy Agency in Zaporoze Nuclear Power Plant completed routine personnel rotation. The Zaporoze Nuclear Power Plant and the Russian Ministry of Defense issued a statement saying that the observers of the International Atomic Energy Agency in Zaporoze Nuclear Power Plant completed routine personnel rotation that day. The Russian Ministry of Defence and the Russian National Guard provided security for the rotation. Three experts from the International Atomic Energy Agency arrived at Zaporoge nuclear power plant as observers, whose task was to supervise and evaluate the operational safety and physical safety of Zaporoge nuclear power plant. Since Grossi, Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency, visited Zaporoge Nuclear Power Plant for the first time on September 1, 2022, IAEA experts have been stationed at the nuclear power plant to observe.Alaska Airlines shares rose 18%, the biggest increase since November 2020.